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Dead Reckoning
Today the public debate centers on the potential success of our occupation
in Iraq. The Bush administration has long declared the war over,
and the untidiness begun. The papers, always optimistic these days,
dutifully quote the generals, who make it sound as though our opposition
is reduced to a few remaining pockets of loyalists hiding in caves, plus
some foreign mercenaries. Gen. Franks wouldn't call it guerrilla warfare,
since there is no popular support - whatever that means. The death
toll of American troops - the only number of any concern to the most patriotic
Americans - are reduced to single digits, which seems manageable. The
problems of the Iraqi people are reduced to public utility shortages,
also nothing more than a nuisance. What is left, as has been said
by many politicians and pundits recently, is to 'teach them to rule themselves'.
The time frame for such an enterprise has been opened to speculation
by the public at large.
I don't know what is more unsettling; that this fantasy is so blatantly
and obviously false, or that we believe it so intentionally. If fanaticism
is defined as belief in spite of the facts, then what do we make of a patriotism
which requires us to believe this stuff? This is a fiction shared
only by a small population in the world, all huddled together here in the
USA, and yet here in the US it is the most normal thing you can imagine.
How is this possible? The free press of the world's greatest
democracy hasn't exactly been heroic in its quest for verification of the
stories we are told. Why? Stories directly related to the situation
are run on foreign networks, but not ours. And not just a few stories.
Why? How come we don't know what's going on, and don't
want to know what's going on. We're all working together to
keep the story alive, is that it? I didn't know I could get this cynical...
But it is not clear to you that we are have a fantastic view of our victims
in the last war? Just how, exactly, do you view these Arabs whom
we are liberating? Third world savages? They've been ruling
themselves for thousands of years, thank you (for good and ill), and not
stumbling around unaware of their histories and their current situations.
The Iraqis hated Hussein, yes, and what's more, they know he was
able to take power because of his US arms and support. He was a common
thug when the CIA found him. This is an open and admitted fact in
America (as it was endorsed by Congress, bragged about by our officials,
and occasionally duly noted in our press), yet somehow the majority of Americans
consider it irrelevant.
Perhaps we feel the subject is ancient history? The Iraqis do not.
The average Iraqi blamed Hussein's rise to power on the US, so they
blamed the gassing of the Kurds on the US, and everything else he did.
Then, in an apparent power game between Hussein and his former masters,
they were forced to endure another decade of withering sanctions, for which
they again had the US to blame. That's the start. That's the
situation we walked into.
And we bombed them, and now we occupy their major cities and
run military sweeps through their villages. And you think their
problems with us are about utilities?
Might wanna connect up to reality, folks. A couple weeks ago I read
an interesting item. It was the count-to-date of civilian dead
in Iraq during the last war, which was at around 3,400. Interested
international agencies had thus far gone through the records of about half
the hospitals in battle areas - noting that most hospitals gave up trying
to keep lists at some point (some were just blood-smeared scrawls), and
that, of course, only those who were still alive after they were hit were
even brought to a hospital in the first place. So these agencies are
a long way from a real tally.
3,400 civilians so far. We've got to be talking casualties of no
less than 10,000, hopefully under 100,000. Ok, so we know the surgical
strikes had more collateral damage than we'd hoped. What does that
mean? It means, Iraq's family culture being what it is, that every dead
woman was somebody's mother, sister, wife, relative, friend, etc. For
every civilian killed by American bombs, at least a dozen more were directly,
personally affected. Do the math. That's hundreds of thousands
of people, no matter how you juggle the numbers.
What do we expect of these people? Put aside what you don't know
about Arabs, and recall what you know about humans. Troops from another
country invades and kills my mom, and I'm going to sit around and discuss
liberation and good intentions? Are you kidding me? Notwithstanding
what the evening news says, these hundreds of thousands are angry, very
angry, murderously angry, vengefully angry. And this anger is not
the kind that goes away in a few months, or a few years.
Whatever you think is happening in Iraq, you must realize that large
numbers of the Iraqi citizenry hates our guts, with a passion marked in blood
and fueled by powerless resentment. For my part, I think things are
occurring now that always have and always will in an occupied country with
hostile citizenry. Patriots and collaborationists are taking their positions
for personal reasons or simple opportunism. The controlling army is
trying to build a collaborationist force to man the front lines and act as
a shield. Military raids of dissidents occur constantly. Nobody
wants to be the subject of those raids, so everybody keeps their mouths
shut and their plans secret, but they harbor a rage strong enough to effect
their daily lives. Guerrilla groups, I'm sure, have swelled their ranks,
public support keeps them fed and hidden, able to group and coordinate attacks.
Etcetera, etcetera, etcetera.
Typical guerrilla warfare. But not Vietnam. Good god, no,
not Vietnam. Don't even think about Vietnam, it ain't Vietnam. Put
the idea out of your head completely. Absolutely nothing at all like
Vietnam, no sir, not a thing. Stupid to even say the word...
July 15, 2003